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Thanks for all your good work!
how does the fact that spot vix is a representation of the implied vol 30-days forward, affect trading strategies?
how closely related are the futures with the spot index?
PS - keep up the great work
Spankey
The various VIX ratios are interesting, but I haven't found them to be good for capturing the relative intraday movements of the SPX and VIX... stacking the two charts 5-min. or even 1-min one-day charts on top of each other is a good way to see this.
Today was a good example of this, going into the close, it looks like the SPX is going to be down about 11, and the VIX will be pretty flat, down about 0.10 -- not particularly profound from a SPX:VIX ratio perspective. But looking at it intraday, we see an opening down move in the SPX and a gap up in the VIX, a steady drop of the VIX during the first hour rally of the SPX, then the VIX rising throughout the market selloff during most of the day, and then AFTER the SPX hit its intraday low and rallied up in the late afternoon, the VIX reached its intraday high and dropped sharply. Finally, as the SPX drifted down into the close, the VIX rose up.
Put another way, a comparison of the VIX to the absolute value of the SPX is not nearly as useful or interesting to me as the dynamic, relative movement of the pair. I haven't put enough effort into describing this mathematically, but a crude version would be to plot the % change of the SPX vs. the % change of the VIX.
tnt
Cheers,
-Bill
Cheers